Overview
Last week, the owner of a food carton business asked me, "A customer wants me to lock in unit prices for the first half of next year. Should I agree?" That question got harder to answer in late September. A major European board producer had just announced a price increase, and its grades are used as the base material for many cartons and folding boxes. Small and mid-sized printers now need to decide how to adjust quotes, contracts and inventory in response to the upstream price signal, so costs don't catch up with them after they take an order

What is MM Board & Paper raising prices on, and why now?
Starting in October, Mayr-Melnhof Board & Paper is raising prices by €75 per tonne for GD and coated liner grades [1]
The Packaging Portal published the news on September 30, 2026 [1]. GD is a commonly used grade of coated recycled board, widely used for folding cartons. Coated liner is the coated outer facing of corrugated boxes. Both sit among the materials most commonly used in packaging print
The board producer's explanation is straightforward: costs keep rising, and margins have been under pressure for a long time. Energy, logistics and chemicals still cost well above historical levels, and prices have continued to fluctuate since March [1]
My read is that this is a cost-driven increase, not a result of overheated demand. Cost-driven increases are harder to reverse in the off-season. As long as energy and logistics costs don't come down significantly, board producers have reason to hold the new prices, or even announce another round
How much will a €75-per-tonne increase actually affect small and mid-sized printers in Taiwan?
€75 per tonne may not look like much, but for packaging jobs with a high share of paperboard costs, it eats straight into margins that were already thin
A simple calculation gives you a sense of the scale. If a carton order uses 3 tonnes of GD board, the producer's cost goes up by €225. That's just the mill price. Importers, agents and converters may each add their own cost changes along the way. By the time the increase reaches the printer, it usually won't be exactly €75
Timing is another key factor. Imported paper takes time to order, ship and receive, and agents will work through their old inventory first. As a result, price increases often take another one to two months to show up in Taiwan
That delay gives printers a buffer, but it's also a trap. If sales teams keep quoting long-term jobs at the old price during that window, they'll have to produce them using board bought at the new price

How should you update your quotes to protect against the next price increase?
The most effective approach is to shorten quote validity and separate paper costs from the total price as an adjustable line item
I recommend using "Mai Strategy's three lines of defense against paper price increases" to structure your quotes:
・First line: Validity period. For jobs where paper makes up a large share of the cost, shorten the quote validity period to around 30 days. After that, recalculate based on the current paper price and state this clearly on the quote
・Second line: Price adjustment clause. Add a price adjustment clause to long-term jobs and annual contracts. The trigger could be a formal price increase announcement from an upstream board producer, with a notice period and adjustment method agreed in advance. MM's announcement has a clear date, grade and amount [1], making it a useful reference for this kind of clause
・Third line: Itemized pricing. List paper, printing and finishing separately. When customers can see which part of the price is changing with paper costs, they're less likely to see the entire adjustment as a printer taking the opportunity to raise prices
Clear contract terms depend on using the right names for the grades. Packaging terminology has standardized definitions you can refer to [2][4]. Instead of writing "white board," specify the board grade and basis weight to avoid disputes caused by inconsistent wording when the order is delivered
When do switching paper or building up inventory actually pay off?
Testing alternative paper is worth doing, but it should be done before accepting an order. Buying large quantities in advance only suits printers with plenty of cash on hand and a concentrated product range
Changing paper means more than changing suppliers. Surface properties, ink absorption and stiffness all affect the printed result and how the carton forms. Research in flexographic printing has systematically examined the relationship between print settings and quality [9], and journal articles have also analyzed flexographic print quality through empirical studies [8]. The takeaway: change the substrate, and color and halftone performance may change too
So alternative paper needs to be tested through a standard process. ASTM has a series of standards for paper and packaging [7], which can serve as a framework for comparing physical properties. At a minimum, compare print color differences, the surface after coating, die-cutting and gluing performance, then get the customer to approve a signed proof
Stockpiling takes careful math. Buying early can help you avoid one price increase, but it ties up cash, takes warehouse space and leaves the paper at risk of moisture and warping. For most small and mid-sized printers, a more practical option is to negotiate "price locked, monthly releases" with the agent. Lock in the price now and take delivery in batches over the coming months
What should small and mid-sized printers do next?
You can do three things this week:
・Review every quote and contract older than 60 days, and flag orders using GD or coated liner grades
・Call your agent and ask when MM's new prices will reach Taiwan and how long current inventory is expected to last
・Pick one or two of your highest-volume products and arrange samples using alternative paper
This approach applies to packaging print jobs with high paper costs and long contract periods. If you mainly do short-run digital printing, paper is a small share of your costs, or customers already pay according to current paper prices, price adjustment clauses are less urgent. Also, if energy and logistics costs fall significantly, board producers may have less room to push through increases, and you can extend quote validity again

Key takeaways
・Starting in October, Mayr-Melnhof Board & Paper is raising prices by €75 per tonne for GD and coated liner board, mainly because energy, logistics and chemical costs remain high
・Cost-driven price increases are unlikely to reverse in the off-season. Printers should expect the new price level to hold for a while
・Price increases on imported paper usually take another one to two months to reach Taiwan. Taking on long-term jobs at old prices during that window is the biggest risk
・Shorter quote validity, price adjustment clauses and itemized paper costs are three low-cost ways for small and mid-sized printers to protect themselves
・Test alternative paper using a standardized process before accepting the order, and get the customer to approve a signed proof. Don't switch paper at the last minute during production
A wider perspective
This price increase is a reminder that paper has shifted from a fixed cost that changes now and then to a variable cost that needs ongoing attention. For print manufacturers, quoting systems need to update costs by grade and basis weight in real time, instead of relying on what sales staff remember. For designers, identifying one or two alternative grades when choosing paper can preserve flexibility when prices change. For AI and SaaS tools, one promising use is to connect mill announcements, agent quotes and printers' order data, then flag in-transit orders that may be affected. One problem remains: Taiwan has little transparent data on how paper price increases pass through the supply chain. Printers mostly rely on verbal updates from agents, so cost alerts still depend heavily on personal contacts and experience
References
[2] Glossary of packaging terms. DOI: 10.3403/00210805u
[3] Glossary of packaging terms. DOI: 10.3403/00102683
[4] Glossary of packaging terms. DOI: 10.3403/00210805
[5] Packaging code. DOI: 10.3403/00375167u
[6] Packaging code. DOI: 10.3403/00375167
[7] ASTM International: Paper and packaging standards. ASTM International
[8] Journal of Graphic Engineering and Design: Article on flexographic print quality. Journal of Graphic Engineering and Design
[9] DiVA Portal / Karlstad University: Doctoral thesis on the relationship between flexographic print quality and printing parameters (PDF). DiVA Portal / Karlstad University
FAQ
- What is the size and scope of MM Board & Paper's October price increase?
- Starting in October, Mayr-Melnhof Board & Paper is raising prices by €75 per tonne for GD and coated liner grades. The increase is driven by energy, logistics and chemical costs that remain above historical levels
- How long does it take for a European board producer's price increase to affect printers in Taiwan?
- Because of ocean freight and agents' inventory, increases on imported paper usually take another one to two months to show up in Taiwan. Check with your agent for the actual timing
- How can small and mid-sized printers protect themselves from rising paper prices when quoting?
- Shorten quote validity and add a price adjustment clause to long-term contracts, triggered by an announcement from an upstream board producer. Also list paper costs separately so customers can see the basis for the adjustment
- Will switching to an alternative board affect print quality?
- It can. A board's surface properties, ink absorption and stiffness may all change color and forming performance. Test samples using a standardized process before accepting the order, then get the customer to approve a signed proof
- Should small and mid-sized printers stock up on paper ahead of a price increase?
- Buying large quantities only suits printers with plenty of cash on hand and a concentrated product range. Most small and mid-sized printers can ask their agent to lock in the price and release the paper in batches, balancing price protection with cash flow
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